Fluent同Ansys合并后對CFD技術(shù)發(fā)展預(yù)期

Fluent公司同Ansys公司已決定整合,下面從剛得到的一些內(nèi)幕消息來分析今后CFD軟件及技術(shù)的發(fā)展方向。

內(nèi)幕部分內(nèi)容
Who will lead the new company after closing?
Jim Cashman will continue to serve as President and Chief Executive Officer of ANSYS, and Bart Patel, currently Chief Executive Officer of Fluent, will continue to support the company in a consulting capacity. In addition, Ferit Boysan, currently President and Chief Operating Officer of Fluent, will head up the Fluids Business Unit (FBU) after closing. Chris Reid, currently Vice President & General Manager – Fluids Business Unit, will lead the global Marketing organization of ANSYS.

Financial
What are Fluent’s and ANSYS's revenues?
ANSYS 2005 revenue was $153.3 million.
Fluent 2005 revenue was $121.9 million.
From a GAAP perspective, at the closing ANSYS will write down a portion of Fluent’s deferred revenue causing Fluent’s GAAP revenues in 2006 to be negatively impacted; however, this is a non-cash impact and, consistent with ANSYS practices, adjusted financial results will be reported as if the deferred revenue write-down was not required under purchase accounting.

What happens to the Fluent and ANSYS brands?
The importance of the brand is what it connotes to the customer. Customers come first. Initially, this will mean maintaining brand identity. Over time our evolving continuous relationship might take us to new levels. It should be noted that all major brands acquired by ANSYS are still in existence.

How many employees does Fluent have?
Fluent and its subsidiaries have approximately 750 employees worldwide. Offices are located in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Belgium, Italy, Sweden, Japan, China and India.

How many employees does ANSYS have?
ANSYS and its subsidiaries have approximately 600 employees worldwide. Offices are located in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Netherlands, Japan, Canada and India. In addition to its direct sales offices, ANSYS distributes and supports its products through a global network of channel partners. This highly experienced channel of distribution and technical support currently provides over 40% of the company’s revenues.

How does Fluent fit into the overall structure at ANSYS?
Fluent will remain a separate subsidiary after closing and will operate as a separate business unit.

今后CFD走向分析

從人事變動上可以看到,F(xiàn)luent公司的現(xiàn)總裁將領(lǐng)導(dǎo)今后新公司的整體的CFD產(chǎn)品系列(Fluent,CFX,ICEM CFD等),而老Ansys公司的負(fù)責(zé)流體的副總裁將負(fù)責(zé)新公司的市場,從人員調(diào)整可以看到今后對于新公司而言,流體軟件部分將以Fluent為主線,沿著Fluent產(chǎn)品的發(fā)展思路延續(xù)下去。

從公司規(guī)??梢钥吹剑ツ?Ansys公司同F(xiàn)luent公司的規(guī)模相當(dāng),這次與其說是收購,不如說是強(qiáng)強(qiáng)聯(lián)合。去年Fluent公司的年增長率約為16%,是一家財(cái)務(wù)狀況非常健康的公司。Fluent公司之所以決定同Ansys公司整合,關(guān)鍵在于Ansys公司籌集到了5.68億美元的巨額費(fèi)用,F(xiàn)luent公司的股票持有者有著巨大的收益,為何不賣?對比2003年Ansys收購CFX公司時,CFX公司已經(jīng)是第三年的虧損,在2002年CFX虧了近500萬美元,所以在2003年初Ansys公司僅以2000萬美元的代價吃進(jìn)了CFX。因此從Ansys公司花費(fèi)的代價差異方面,只要是正常人,F(xiàn)luent及CFX對于新公司而言,誰更重要這一點(diǎn)是不言而喻的!由于CFX和Fluent是同類的CFD產(chǎn)品,當(dāng)年Ansys公司在收購CFX公司之后這幾年的運(yùn)作并沒有達(dá)到使CFX軟件占據(jù)優(yōu)勢的CFD市場,F(xiàn)luent軟件的市場仍遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過CFX,因此這次Ansys公司再痛下血本(Ansys收購Fluent的費(fèi)用絕大部分來源于銀行貸款)完成了這次并構(gòu)。
通常對于一個公司而言,同類的產(chǎn)品不會同時維持,尤其是軟件產(chǎn)品,因此Fluent同CFX肯定會整合(消減研發(fā)人員及維護(hù)成本),因此就存在一個主次的問題,即今后的新Ansys公司的CFD產(chǎn)品是更多偏向Fluent軟件還是CFX?
從Fluent公司并入新公司后仍保持獨(dú)立的運(yùn)行機(jī)構(gòu)而言,同時Fluent公司擁有龐大的員工隊(duì)伍(對應(yīng)的 Fluent流體研發(fā)工程師),而老Ansys公司對應(yīng)的CFX方面的流體研發(fā)工程師要少的多,本著少數(shù)服從多數(shù)的原則,新公司的流體技術(shù)肯定將沿用Fluent軟件的技術(shù)及思路,逐步將CFX的某些有特點(diǎn)的技術(shù)提取來完善Fluent產(chǎn)品,CFX將逐漸淡出。這種整合的實(shí)例在IT界比比皆是。
品牌的號召力,做CFD的行內(nèi)人士都知道,F(xiàn)luent擁有絕對優(yōu)勢的市場地位及品牌號召力。從去年兩個公司的收入對比可以看到,F(xiàn)luent品牌去年的收入是1.2億美元,而Ansys所有的產(chǎn)品(包含流體軟件、結(jié)構(gòu)軟件及其它軟件)也不過是1.5億美元,其中CFX等流體軟件的總收入在3000萬美元左右,F(xiàn)luent品牌每年收益的價值是CFX&ICEMCFD等的4倍。對任何正常的公司而言,如果兩個東西只能選一個的話,那么肯定會保留有絕對優(yōu)勢的!

從上面新公司合并后的一些特點(diǎn)分析可以看到,由于有如下幾個因素:
品牌價值、號召力
市場地位
領(lǐng)導(dǎo)層構(gòu)成
軟件技術(shù)狀態(tài)
公司員工構(gòu)成
。。。。。

Fluent公司同Ansys公司完成并構(gòu)后,大家可能會發(fā)現(xiàn),新公司所推出的CFD軟件將類似Fluent軟件的風(fēng)格及特點(diǎn),對于老的Fluent軟件用戶而言應(yīng)該說是一個好消息。

CFD技術(shù)的動向
Fluent同Ansys的并構(gòu)將對CFD技術(shù)的發(fā)展產(chǎn)生巨大的影響,Ansys公司過去一直宣揚(yáng)多物理場模擬、整合的概念,而過去流體相關(guān)的技術(shù)一直是Ansys公司的弱項(xiàng),此次兩強(qiáng)的合并,將極大促進(jìn)多物理場模擬技術(shù)的發(fā)展,一個非常典型的應(yīng)用將實(shí)現(xiàn):結(jié)構(gòu)-流體-電磁-其它關(guān)聯(lián)場的耦合,大家過去關(guān)心的FSI(流體結(jié)構(gòu)的瞬態(tài)耦合)問題在不遠(yuǎn)的將來會更加方便的實(shí)現(xiàn)。
總之這次的合并將改變整個CAE領(lǐng)域的格局,開創(chuàng)一個新的CAE發(fā)展空間。對于CFD方面而言,這也將會是一個里程碑!
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